Resurgent Republic

The proportion of Republicans, Democrats, and independents that turnout to vote shapes the outcome of every election. Even small shifts in these percentages can dramatically alter political outcomes. And this November’s midterm is no exception.

But estimating the partisan composition of the electorate – and especially making comparisons over time -- is trickier than you might think.

Gallup underscored this point earlier this week, showing how shifts in partisan identification over the past two years have produced more politically “competitive” states, as fewer Americans identify as Democrats.

Democrat Inaction on Scheduled Tax Increases Looms over August Recess

Posted by Resurgent Republic on July 29th, 2010 @ 11:50am

This August, Obama will travel to several states campaigning for Democrat candidates in the House and Senate. According to Politico, he will participate in a high dollar, Los Angeles fundraiser for Nancy Pelosi. He also plans to make stops in Washington campaigning for Senate incumbent Patty Murray (via The Seattle Times). According to Resurgent Republic’s latest survey the voters in California and Washington had a lot to say about Obama’s performance so far and the scheduled tax increases.

Democrat Problems Widen Among Those Absolutely Certain to Vote

Posted by Resurgent Republic on July 26th, 2010 @ 4:58am

With the election just over three months away, our most recent survey shows Republicans hold a 3 point advantage on the congressional generic ballot in key battleground states. In addition, these voters disapprove of President Obama’s job performance, 50 to 47 percent. If Democrats are looking for positive signs in this data, they shouldn’t look to those who say they are absolutely certain to vote.